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Elections in Utah |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Utah will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Utah. Incumbent Republican Senator Mitt Romney was elected with 62.6% of the vote in 2018 and has declined to seek a second term.[1] Utah is considered a safe red state by election analysts; no Democrat has served in the Senate from the state since Frank Moss left office in 1977.[2] Primary elections will take place on June 25, 2024.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- John Curtis, U.S. representative from Utah's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)[4]
- Jeremy Friedbaum, piano technician and perennial candidate[5]
- Brent Hatch, attorney, treasurer of the Federalist Society, and son of former U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch[6]
- Brian Jenkins, window cleaning contractor and perennial candidate[5]
- Carolyn Phippen, former advisor to U.S. Senator Mike Lee[7]
- Josh Randall, accountant and audit manager[8]
- Trent Staggs, mayor of Riverton and nominee for mayor of Salt Lake County in 2020[9]
- Chandler Tanner, attorney[5]
- Jason Walton, investor[5]
- Clark White, supply chain manager[5]
- Brad Wilson, Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives (2019–present) from the 15th district (2011–present)[10]
Withdrawn
- Rod Bird, mayor of Roosevelt (running for U.S. House)[11]
- Tyrone Jensen, political commentator and perennial candidate (running for U.S. House)[5]
Declined
- Spencer Cox, Governor of Utah (2021–present) (running for re-election, endorsed Wilson)[12]
- Greg Hughes, former Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives (2015–2018) from HD-51 (2003–2018), candidate for Governor of Utah in 2020, and candidate for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2023[13]
- Carson Jorgensen, former chair of the Utah Republican Party (2021–2023) and candidate for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2020[14] (running for governor)[15]
- Robert O'Brien, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021)[16]
- Sean Reyes, Utah Attorney General (2013–present)[17]
- Josh Romney, real estate executive and son of incumbent Mitt Romney[18]
- Mitt Romney, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present)[1]
- Chris Stewart, U.S. representative from Utah's 2nd congressional district (2013–2023)[19] (resigned from Congress)[20]
Endorsements
John Curtis
- Organizations
Mitt Romney (declined to run)
- U.S. Senators
- Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)[22]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2007-2015, 2021–present), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[22]
- Organizations
Trent Staggs
- Federal executive officials
- Richard Grenell, former United States Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020) and former Acting Director of National Intelligence (2020)[24]
- Mark Levin, Chief of Staff to the U.S. Attorney General (1988–1989); Deputy Solicitor of the U.S. Department of the Interior (1986–1987); U.S. Associate Deputy Attorney General (1985–1986)[25]
- Kash Patel, former chief of staff to the acting United States Secretary of Defense[26]
- U.S. Senators
- Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021-present)[27]
- Party leaders
- Harmeet Dhillon, Republican National Committeewoman for California (2016–present)[25]
- Individuals
- Charlie Kirk, founder and executive director of Turning Point USA and CEO of Turning Point Action and Students for Trump[25]
- Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor and nominee for governor of Arizona in 2022[28]
- Organizations
Brad Wilson
- Statewide officials
- Spencer Cox, Governor of Utah (2021–present)[31]
- State legislators
- 16 state senators, including senate president Stuart Adams[17]
- 47 state representatives[17]
Declined to endorse
- U.S. Senators
- Mitt Romney, incumbent U.S. Senator (2019–present)[32]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Rod Bird (R) | $1,082,497 | $240 | $1,082,257 |
Brad Wilson (R) | $3,231,282 | $382,117 | $2,849,164 |
Trent Staggs (R) | $532,124 | $94,033 | $438,090 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[33] |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Curtis |
Trent Staggs |
Brad Wilson |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Guidant Polling and Strategy[upper-alpha 1] | November 28 – December 5, 2023 |
600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 6% | 11% | – | 43% |
44% | – | – | 12% | 44% |
Hypothetical polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Curtis |
Deidre Henderson |
Mike Kennedy |
Sean Reyes |
Mitt Romney |
Trent Staggs |
Brad Wilson |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | August 7–14, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | – | – | 44% | 3% | 6% | 32%[lower-alpha 1] | 14% |
Noble Predictive Insights | July 7–18, 2023 | 301 (RV) | ± 5.7% | – | 3% | 5% | 13% | 30% | 3% | 5% | – | 39% |
– | 8% | 7% | 16% | – | 4% | 7% | – | 55% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Caroline Gleich, skier and mountaineer[34]
- Laird Hamblin, biologist and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[5]
- Archie Williams, heavy equipment operator and perennial candidate[5]
Endorsements
Caroline Gleich
- Individuals
- Conrad Anker, professional rock climber[34]
Third parties and Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Carlton Bowen (Independent American), former American Fork city councilor and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000[5]
- Robert Newcomb (Independent American), engineer[5]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[35] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections[36] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
Elections Daily[38] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[39] | Solid R | November 21, 2023 |
Notes
- ↑ "Another candidate" with 32%
- Partisan clients
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Conservative Values for Utah, which supports Curtis
References
- 1 2 Balz, Dan (September 13, 2023). "Mitt Romney says he will not seek a second term in the Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
- ↑ "Romney Won't Run for Reelection, Opening GOP Primary Fight". Cook Political. September 13, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ↑ Aerts, Lindsay (January 2, 2024). "Rep. John Curtis officially running for Romney's senate seat". KSL Newsradio. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "2024 Candidate Filings – Utah Voter Information". vote.utah.gov. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ↑ Bates, Suzanne (January 2, 2024). "Brent Hatch, Orrin's son, joins Senate race to replace Mitt Romney". Deseret News. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
- ↑ "Ballots & Boundaries". Bloomberg Government. September 15, 2023. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
- ↑ Anderson Stern, Emily (October 20, 2023). "These Utahns are running for Mitt Romney's seat in the U.S. Senate". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
- ↑ Bates, Suzanne (May 23, 2023). "Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs announces run for Mitt Romney's Senate seat". Deseret News.
- ↑ Irwin, Lauren (September 27, 2023). "Utah House speaker joins race to replace Romney". The Hill. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- ↑ Tomco, Brigham (January 3, 2024). "Roosevelt mayor opts for House bid, says background in energy sector makes him 'a good fit'". Deseret News. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
Roosevelt Mayor Rod Bird Jr. ended his U.S. Senate campaign Wednesday, filing instead to run for Utah's 3rd Congressional District.
- ↑ Woodruff, Daniel (September 14, 2023). "Utah governor not considering run for U.S. Senate". KUTV. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
- ↑ Winslow, Ben (September 13, 2023). "As Romney exits, Republicans line up to replace him". Fox 13. Retrieved September 14, 2023.
Former House Speaker Greg Hughes, who recently lost a bid for GOP nomination for the 2nd Congressional District, said he was not interested in running for the seat.
- ↑ Pignanelli, Frank; Webb, LaVarr (September 13, 2023). "Opinion: Who will replace Mitt Romney?". Deseret News. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
- ↑ Bojórquez, Kim (January 5, 2024). "Former Utah GOP chair Carson Jorgensen jumps into governor's race". Axios. Retrieved January 5, 2024.
- ↑ Tomco, Brigham (September 18, 2023). "The latest on who might run for Romney's Senate seat: Robert O'Brien announces his decision". Deseret News. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
- 1 2 3 Everett, Burgess; Adragna, Anthony (August 10, 2023). "A group of 60 members of the Utah Legislature are pushing Brad Wilson to run for the U.S. Senate seat held by Mitt Romney". Politico. Retrieved August 10, 2023.
- ↑ Schott, Bryan (September 28, 2023). "Josh Romney won't run to replace his father in the Senate next year". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- ↑ Bates, Suzanne (April 13, 2023). "Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat". Deseret News. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
Sources say Rep. Chris Stewart, who represents Utah's 2nd Congressional District, and Rep. John Curtis, who represents Utah's 3rd Congressional District, have thought about running
- ↑ Schott, Bryan (May 30, 2023). "Breaking: Rep. Chris Stewart plans to resign from Congress". The Salt Lake Tribune.
- ↑ Jackson, Herb (January 3, 2024). "Curtis enters GOP race to fill Romney seat in Utah". Roll Call. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
- 1 2 Everett, Burgess (December 21, 2022). "See Romney run? Trump's top GOP foil eyes Senate reelection". Politico.
- ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- ↑ Moran, Sean (September 15, 2023). "Ric Grenell Endorses Trent Staggs for Utah Senate". NewFinals.
- 1 2 3 Mondeaux, Cami (August 4, 2023). "Romney Challenger Garners Slew of Endorsements from Utah Lawmakers". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved August 5, 2023.
- ↑ Ogbonna, Gloria (October 2, 2023). "Exclusive: Former Pentagon Chief of Staff Kash Patel Backs America First Candidate Trent Staggs for U.S. Senate". yourNEWS. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ↑ https://www.foxnews.com/politics/utah-mayor-secures-first-senate-endorsement-bid-romneys-seat.amp
- ↑ Schott, Bryan (September 16, 2023). "Conservative star Kari Lake to headline fundraising event for U.S. Senate hopeful Trent Staggs". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
- ↑ Cooper, Reed (July 19, 2023). "Mitt Romney Challenger Trent Staggs Secures Major Endorsement from TPAction: 'We Will Retire Romney'". D.C. Enquirer. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ↑ Schnee, Brian (June 5, 2023). "Utah police union backs Trent Staggs' Senate push". KUTV 2. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
- ↑ "Utah Gov. Spencer Cox backs Brad Wilson in race for Romney's Senate seat". www.abc4.com. October 19, 2023. Retrieved October 21, 2023.
- ↑ Woodruff, Daniel (January 3, 2024). "As Senate race solidifies, Romney plans on 'staying out' of it". KJZZ-TV. Retrieved January 7, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - Utah". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- 1 2 Anderson Stern, Emily. "World-renowned ski mountaineer, environmental activist running for Utah's open Senate seat". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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