2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

November 5, 2024

All 17 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 9 8

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the seventeen U.S. representatives from the State of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

District 1

The 1st district is based in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County.[1] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) $2,500,903 $613,596 $3,347,221
Mark Houck (R) $31,661 $22,548 $9,113
Source: Federal Election Commission[5]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Ashley Ehasz, government affairs consultant, retired U.S. Army pilot, and nominee for this district in 2022[6]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ashley Ehasz (D) $460,319 $235,766 $230,701
Source: Federal Election Commission[5]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Likely R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Likely R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Very Likely R November 16, 2023

District 2

The 2nd district is based in central and northeastern Philadelphia.[1] It has a PVI of D+20 and voted for Joe Biden by 43% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Brendan Boyle, who was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Brendan Boyle

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brandon Boyle (D) $792,070 $238,126 $2,898,886
Salem Snow (D) $2,215 $1,163 $2,427
Source: Federal Election Commission[20]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 3

The 3rd district is based in west and south Philadelphia.[1] It has a PVI of D+40 and voted for Joe Biden by 81% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Dwight Evans, who was re-elected with 95.1% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Declared

Formed exploratory committee

Endorsements

Dwight Evans

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dwight Evans (D) $357,406 $312,155 $178,866
Source: Federal Election Commission[24]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 4

The 4th district is based in the western suburbs of Philadelphia, including most of Montgomery County and parts of Berks County. The incumbent is Democrat Madeleine Dean, who was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Madeleine Dean (D) $616,735 $475,875 $845,755
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Republican primary

Declared

  • David Winkler, storage facility manager[30]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Winkler (R) $15,875[lower-alpha 1] $5,993 $3,362
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 5

The 5th district is based in the southwestern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Delaware County, parts of Montgomery County, and parts of south Philadelphia. The incumbent is Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mary Gay Scanlon (D) $495,539 $428,822 $369,297
Source: Federal Election Commission[31]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 6

The 6th district includes all of Chester County and the city of Reading in Berks County. The incumbent is Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who was re-elected with 58.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chrissy Houlahan (D) $913,752 $365,729 $3,505,718
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 7

The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, including all of Lehigh, Northampton, and Carbon counties and a small sliver of Monroe County.[1] It has a PVI of R+2 and voted for Joe Biden by 0.6% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Susan Wild, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Potential

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Susan Wild (D) $1,509,087 $457,388 $1,105,660
Source: Federal Election Commission[44]

Republican primary

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Ryan Mackenzie

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Dellicker (R) $66,650 $11,346 $56,817
Ryan Mackenzie (R) $135,023 $7,853 $127,169
Maria Montero (R) $100,773[lower-alpha 2] $36,056 $64,717
Source: Federal Election Commission[44]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Tossup December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Tilt D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Tossup September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Tossup September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Tossup November 16, 2023

District 8

The 8th district is based in Northeast Pennsylvania, specifically the Wyoming Valley and Pocono Mountains, including all of Lackawanna, Wayne, and Pike counties, and most of Luzerne and Monroe counties.[1] It has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 3% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Matt Cartwright, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Matt Cartwright (D) $1,804,847 $438,804 $1,418,662
Source: Federal Election Commission[52]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Rob Bresnahan Jr., construction company CEO[53]

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Tossup December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Tilt D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Tossup September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Tossup September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Tilt D November 16, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Matt Carwright vs. different candidate
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Different
candidate
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 1] July 24–25, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 39% 51%
Matt Cartwright vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 1] July 24–25, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 44.6% 44.6% 10.8%

District 9

The incumbent is Republican Dan Meuser who was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan Meuser (R) $467,891 $495,663 $76,078
Source: Federal Election Commission[57]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Amanda Waldman, Medicare financial representative and nominee for this district in 2022[58]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 10

The 10th district is based in the Harrisburg and York areas, including all of Dauphin County, most of Cumberland County, and the northern half of York County.[1] It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 4% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Scott Perry, who was re-elected with 53.8% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Scott Perry
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Scott Perry (R) $1,176,087 $808,115 $541,089
Source: Federal Election Commission[61]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Shamaine Daniels
Mike O'Brien
U.S representatives
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike O'Brien (D) $154,322 $17,504 $136,818
Rick Coplen (D) $50,854 $45,544 $5,309
Shamaine Daniels (D) $38,129 $24,186 $15,541
Source: Federal Election Commission[61]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Rick
Coplen
Shamaine
Daniels
Blake
Lynch
Mike
O'Brien
Janelle
Stelson
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] October 16–17, 2023 547 (LV) ± 4.2% 3% 20% 3% 3% 33% 38%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[71] Lean R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Lean R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Likely R November 16, 2023

District 11

The 11th district is based in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, including all of Lancaster County and the southern half of York County.[1] It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 21% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Joshua Hall, convicted felon[72]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lloyd Smucker (R) $650,290 $284,212 $1,245,901
Source: Federal Election Commission[73]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • David Baker, construction specialist[17]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Baker (D) $6,267 $5,840 $427
Source: Federal Election Commission[73]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 12

The 12th district is based in the city of Pittsburgh and its eastern and southern suburbs, including parts of Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 20% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Summer Lee, who was elected with 56.2% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Summer Lee
U.S. senators
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Bhavini Patel
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Summer Lee (D) $378,932 $150,115 $253,184
Bhavini Patel (D) $0 $0 $20,579
Source: Federal Election Commission[84]

Republican primary

Declared

  • James Hayes, manufacturing executive[85]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Hayes (R) $45,638 $24,327 $21,310
Source: Federal Election Commission[84]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 13

The 13th district is based in South Central Pennsylvania, including Johnstown, Altoona, and Gettysburg.[1] It has a PVI of R+25 and voted for Donald Trump by 45% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican John Joyce, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Joyce (R) $892,091 $452,676 $2,251,583
Source: Federal Election Commission[87]

Democratic primary

Announcement pending

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 14

The 14th district is based in Southwest Pennsylvania, including all of Washington, Greene, and Fayette counties, most of Indiana and Somerset counties, and parts of Westmoreland County.[1] It has a PVI of R+18 and voted for Donald Trump by 32% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Guy Reschenthaler (R) $1,083,276 $804,741 $783,029
Source: Federal Election Commission[90]

Democratic primary

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 15

The incumbent is Republican Glenn Thompson, who was re-elected with 69.9% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Glenn Thompson (R) $1,509,402 $1,043,170 $820,007
Source: Federal Election Commission[93]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 16

The 16th district is located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, and contains all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence and Butler counties, and part of Venango County.[1] It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 18% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Mike Kelly, who was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Mike Kelly, incumbent U.S. representative[94]
  • Tim Kramer, tax preparation nonprofit executive[95]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Kelly (R) $543,802 $217,864 $1,225,143
Source: Federal Election Commission[96]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Preston Nouri, legislative analyst and former congressional aide[95]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Preston Nouri (D) $114,292[lower-alpha 4] $46,326 $67,966
Source: Federal Election Commission[96]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 17

The 17th district is based in the western and northern suburbs of Pittsburgh, including parts of Allegheny County and all of Beaver County.[1] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 6% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Chris Deluzio, who was elected with 53.4% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chris Deluzio (D) $1,095,950 $425,792 $692,285
Source: Federal Election Commission[99]

Republican primary

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Rob Mercuri

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Rob Mercuri (R) $150,965 $4,835 $146,430
Jim Nelson (R)[lower-alpha 5] $45,441 $41,917 $3,524
Source: Federal Election Commission[99]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Lean D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[13] Lean D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Lean D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[15] Lean D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[16] Likely D November 16, 2023

Notes

  1. $11,500 of this total was self-funded by Winkler
  2. $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Montero
  3. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Nouri
  5. Withdrawn candidate
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund
  2. Poll conducted for Stelson's campaign

References

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