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Elections in New York State |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. Primary elections will take place on June 25, 2024.[1] Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D) was appointed to the Senate in January 2009 after Hillary Clinton (D) resigned to become Secretary of State under President Obama. Gillibrand won the 2010 special election to retain the Senate seat, won her first full term in 2012, and was re-elected with 67.0% of the vote in 2018. Republican candidate Josh Eisen is running for the Republican nomination.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. senator[2]
Potential
- Andrew Cuomo, former governor of New York (2011–2021)[3]
Withdrew
- Will Schweitzer, special operations veteran, tech entrepreneur
Declined
- Jamaal Bowman, U.S. representative from New York's 16th congressional district (2021–present)[4]
- Al Franken, former U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009–2018)[5]
- Mondaire Jones, member of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (2023–present) and former U.S. representative from New York's 17th congressional district (2021–2023)[6][4] (running for U.S. House)[7]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. representative from New York's 14th congressional district (2019–present) (running for re-election)[4]
- Tom Suozzi, former U.S. representative from New York's 3rd congressional district (2017–2023) and candidate for Governor of New York in 2006 and 2022[8] (running for U.S. House)[9]
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. representative from New York's 15th congressional district (2021–present)[8]
Endorsements
Kirsten Gillibrand
- Individuals
- Stuart Appelbaum, president of the Jewish Labor Committee (1998–present) and board member of the National Endowment for Democracy (2022–present)[10]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[11]
- EMILY's List[12]
- End Citizens United[13]
- Giffords[14]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[15]
- League of Conservation Voters[16]
- Let America Vote[13]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[17]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[18]
- Population Connection Action Fund[19]
Polling
Hypothetical polling
- Kirsten Gillibrand vs. Andrew Cuomo
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand |
Andrew Cuomo |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
American Pulse & Research Polling (R)[upper-alpha 1] | November 30 – December 1, 2023 | 417 (V) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) | $10,003,237 | $12,044,261 | $8,274,378 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[20] |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
Elections Daily[24] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[25] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
Hypothetical polling
- Kirsten Gillibrand vs. generic opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Generic opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | November 12–15, 2023 | 893 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 35% | 25% |
Siena College | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 38% | 23% |
Siena College | September 10–13, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 37% | 22% |
Siena College | August 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 41% | 19% |
Siena College | June 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
Siena College | May 7–11, 2023 | 810 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 43% | 38% | 19% |
Siena College | March 19–22, 2023 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 38% | 19% |
Notes
- Partisan clients
- ↑ This poll was sponsored by Save the Senate
References
- ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ↑ Balk, Tim (January 13, 2023). "N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand announces 2024 reelection campaign". New York Daily News. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
- ↑ Coltin, Jeff; Reisman, Nick; Ngo, Emily (November 20, 2023). "A NY GOP without McCarthy's cash". Politico. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
Andrew Cuomo seems to be polling — again — and is even testing his viability as a mayoral candidate. Screenshots of an online poll reviewed by Playbook show questions...testing him against Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate
- 1 2 3 "AOC is 'not planning' to run for Senate in 2024". POLITICO. April 30, 2023. Retrieved April 30, 2023.
- ↑ Niemietz, Brian (February 10, 2022). "Al Franken is tempted to return to the U.S. Senate". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 4, 2023.
- ↑ "How a Liberal NY Senator Became a Primary Target of the Left". February 21, 2023.
- ↑ Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 5, 2023). "Former Rep. Mondaire Jones launches comeback bid for House seat in New York". POLITICO. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
- 1 2 Fandos, Nicholas (January 20, 2023). "Gillibrand, Looking Left, Launches Campaign For a Third Term". The New York Times.
- ↑ "LI Democrat Tom Suozzi to run for Congressional seat in 2024, now held by Rep. George Santos". ABC7 New York. October 10, 2023.
- 1 2 Reisman, Nick (April 6, 2023). "Gillibrand picks up early union nod in re-election bid". Spectrum News 1. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ↑ Wang, Danni (April 26, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
- 1 2 "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Gillibrand for Reelection". End Citizens United. August 10, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
- ↑ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
- ↑ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ↑ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ↑ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ↑ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - New York". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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