2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana
November 5, 2024
All 6 Louisiana seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats 5 1

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Louisiana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Background

During the 2020 redistricting cycle, Louisiana's congressional map faced legal challenges for alleged violations of the Voting Rights Act of 1965. Roughly one-third of Louisiana's population is African American, but only one of Louisiana's six districts was drawn with a Black majority. Legislators overrode Governor John Bel Edwards' veto to enact the districts. The NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund sued the state on behalf of Black Louisianan voters. In Robinson v. Ardoin, a U.S. District Judge found that the maps were illegally racially gerrymandered, first ordering the legislature to reconvene to redraw compliant maps, then suggesting that she would enforce court-ordered maps following legislators' "disingenuous" and "insincere" attempts to do so on their own.[1][2]

The State appealed the case to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals to attempt to keep the discriminatory map in place. The Fifth Circuit first placed a stay on the court-ordered redrawing process pending review, then reversed its decision.[3][4] The State then appealed to the Supreme Court of the United States, which granted the state's application, stayed the district court's injunction, and allowed the 2022 elections to take place with the discriminatory district map in effect. The Court indicated that it would first review a similar case concerning racial gerrymandering in Alabama, Allen v. Milligan, before dealing with Robinson v. Ardoin.

The Court was widely expected to side with both Alabama and Louisiana, weakening the anti-discrimination protections of the Voting Rights Act. However, the Court upheld a lower court decision in Allen v. Milligan that Alabama's maps were in fact racially gerrymandered, suggesting that it may also decide against Louisiana. On June 26, 2023, the Court decided not to intervene in Robinson v. Ardoin, rescinding its stay and allowing the case to continue in the Fifth Circuit. On November 10, 2023, a decision made by the 5th circuit panel gave the Louisiana state legislature until January 15, 2024 to redraw its congressional maps, with a second majority Black district, in advance of the 2024 election cycle.[5][6][7] Because newly-elected Governor Jeff Landry will not be sworn in until January 8th, and a special session of the assembly cannot be convened until at least seven days after the governor calls for one, the Court extended the deadline for the legislature to approve new maps to January 30th.[8]

District 1

The 1st district is based in the suburbs of New Orleans, spanning from the northern shore of Lake Pontchartrain south to the Mississippi River delta. The incumbent is Republican Steve Scalise, who was re-elected with 72.8% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Mel Manuel (D)
Organizations
Steve Scalise (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Steve Scalise (R) $6,476,618 $5,235,354 $5,893,463
Mel Manuel (D) $8,781 $2,808 $5,951
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[15] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[19] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 2

The 2nd district stretches from New Orleans to inner Baton Rouge. The incumbent is Democrat Troy Carter, who was re-elected with 77.1% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Candidates

Potential

  • Troy Carter (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Troy Carter (D) $507,772 $407,960 $465,998
Source: Federal Election Commission[20]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[15] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[19] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 3

The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Louisiana, taking in Lake Charles and Lafayette. The incumbent is Republican Clay Higgins, who was re-elected with 64.3% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Clay Higgins (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Clay Higgins (R) $308,851 $161,328 $175,040
Source: Federal Election Commission[21]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[15] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[19] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 4

The 4th district encompasses northwestern Louisiana, taking in the Shreveport–Bossier City metropolitan area. The incumbent is Republican and current Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, who ran unopposed in 2022.[9]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Mike Johnson (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Johnson (R) $553,013 $287,813 $1,149,778
Source: Federal Election Commission[22]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[15] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[19] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 5

The 5th district encompasses rural northeastern Louisiana, central Louisiana, as well as the northern part of Louisiana's Florida parishes in southeast Louisiana, taking in Monroe, Alexandria, Opelousas, Amite and Bogalusa, Louisiana. The incumbent is Republican Julia Letlow, who was re-elected with 67.6% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Julia Letlow (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Julia Letlow (R) $844,746 $323,523 $1,307,923
Source: Federal Election Commission[24]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[15] Tossup June 8, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[19] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 6

The 6th district encompasses the suburbs of Baton Rouge. The incumbent is Republican Garret Graves, who was re-elected with 80.4% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Garret Graves (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Garret Graves (R) $1,573,031 $586,107 $3,507,402
Source: Federal Election Commission[26]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[15] Likely R July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[19] Solid R November 16, 2023

References

  1. ↑ Muller, Wesley (June 6, 2022). "Federal court rejects Louisiana congressional map". Louisiana Illuminator.
  2. ↑ Hilburn, Greg (June 16, 2022). "Judge calls effort of Louisiana Legislature to draw new map 'disingenuous' and 'insincere'". The Daily Advertiser.
  3. ↑ McConnaughey, Janet (June 10, 2022). "Order for Louisiana to redraw US House districts put on hold". AP News.
  4. ↑ McConnaughey, Janet (June 13, 2022). "Appeals court lifts hold on Louisiana congressional remap". AP News.
  5. ↑ McGill, Kevin; Sherman, Mark; Cline, Sara (June 26, 2023). "Supreme Court unfreezes Louisiana redistricting case that could boost Black voting power before 2024". ABC News.
  6. ↑ Sneed, Tierney (June 26, 2023). "Supreme Court allows for Louisiana congressional map to be redrawn to add another majority-Black district". CNN Politics.
  7. ↑ "DocumentCloud". www.documentcloud.org. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  8. ↑ Mueller, Wesley (December 15, 2023). "5th Circuit denies Louisiana's appeal in congressional redistricting case". Louisiana Illuminator.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
  10. ↑ Frisk, Garrett (May 19, 2023). "Louisiana Has Its First Congressional Candidate for 2024". Diamond Eye Candidate Report.
  11. ↑ Cohen, Max; Soellner, Mica (November 29, 2023). "The House Republicans who may head for the exits". Punchbowl News. Retrieved November 29, 2023. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise is running for reelection, per spokesperson Lauren Fine.
  12. ↑ "2023 Endorsements | Freethought Equality Fund". freethoughtequality.org. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
  14. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 9, 2023. Retrieved August 9, 2023.
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  20. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  21. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  22. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 4th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  23. ↑ "The Messenger: A PAC Dedicated to Electing GOP Women Issues First Wave of 2024 Endorsements (Exclusive)". maggieslist.org. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
  24. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  25. ↑ Martin, Jonathan (December 23, 2023). "Advice from a Democratic Unicorn". Politico. Retrieved December 23, 2023.
  26. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 6th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
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