2024 New York's 3rd congressional district special election
February 13, 2024
New York's 3rd congressional district
 
Nominee Mazi Melesa Pilip Tom Suozzi
Party Republican[lower-alpha 1] Democratic
Alliance Conservative
U.S. Representative before election

George Santos
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

TBD

The 2024 New York's 3rd congressional district special election will be held on February 13, 2024 to fill the vacant seat in New York's 3rd congressional district. The winner will serve in the United States House of Representatives for the remainder of the 118th United States Congress. The seat became vacant after the December 1, 2023 expulsion of Republican George Santos. Because the 3rd district is generally considered a swing seat, political analysts believe this could be a competitive and expensive election for both parties.[2][3]

Background

Republican George Santos was elected to Congress in 2022 from New York's 3rd district. Weeks later, The New York Times reported that Santos had misrepresented his background during the campaign.[4] Santos confirmed the allegations against him were true soon after, but refused to resign from his seat.[5] After a formal inquiry by the House Ethics Committee, Santos was expelled from the House of Representatives on December 1, 2023 by a vote of 311 to 114. At the time of the expulsion, Santos was indicted on 23 federal charges related to fraud.[6] Santos was the first representative to be expelled in two decades and the first since the Civil War to be expelled before any criminal conviction.[7]

Nominees

New York does not use primary elections when filling vacancies. Instead, party officials in the affected counties are responsible for choosing their party's nominee (in this case, Nassau and Queens).[8]

Democratic Party

Democrats selected Tom Suozzi as the party's nominee on December 7, 2023.[9] He had previously represented the district in the House from 2017 to 2023. Before that, he served as the Nassau County executive and the mayor of Glen Cove, and had run for governor in 2006 and 2022.[10]

Republican Party

Republicans selected Mazi Melesa Pilip as their nominee to replace Santos on December 14, 2023.[11] She previously served in the Israeli Defense Forces, and has represented the 10th legislative district in the Nassau County Legislature since 2022.[12] She is a registered Democrat, though she holds office as a Republican.[1]

Minor parties

New York allows fusion voting in elections, prompting minor parties to nominate candidates on their ballot lines. The Conservative Party of New York State nominated Pilip.[13] Suozzi declined to seek the support of the Working Families Party, despite having accepted the party's nomination in past election cycles.[14][15]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Tossup January 9, 2024
Inside Elections[17] Tossup December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Tossup February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[19] Tossup September 7, 2023

Endorsements

Mazi Melesa Pilip (R)
Federal officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Tom Suozzi (D)
Federal officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Debate

The candidates have agreed to a debate on February 8, 2024. It will be hosted by News 12 Long Island.[43]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Mazi Melesa
Pilip (R)		 Tom
Suozzi (D)		 Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics (R)[upper-alpha 1] November 30, 2023 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 40% 43% 17%
Hypothetical polling
Kellen Curry vs. Tom Suozzi
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Kellen
Curry (R)		 Tom
Suozzi (D)		 Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics (R)[upper-alpha 1] November 30, 2023 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 39% 43% 18%
Mike Sapraicone vs. Tom Suozzi
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Sapraicone (R)		 Tom
Suozzi (D)		 Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics (R)[upper-alpha 1] November 30, 2023 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 38% 45% 17%

Results

2024 New York's 3rd congressional district special election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mazi Melesa Pilip
Conservative Mazi Melesa Pilip
Total Mazi Melesa Pilip
Democratic Tom Suozzi
Total votes
By county
County Mazi Melesa Pilip
Republican		 Tom Suozzi
Democratic		 Write-in Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # %
Nassau
Queens
Total

Notes

  1. ↑ Pilip has been a registered Democrat since 2012, but was elected to the Nassau County Legislature as a Republican.[1]
  2. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Curry's campaign

References

  1. 1 2 Cuza, Bobby (December 14, 2023). "GOP nominates Nassau legislator Mazi Pilip to run for Santos' seat". NY1.
  2. ↑ Stewart, Kyle (December 1, 2023). "George Santos was expelled from the House — what happens next?". NBC News. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  3. ↑ Wasserman, Dave (December 1, 2023). "NY-03: With Santos Expulsion Likely, Toss Up Special Looms on Long Island". The Cook Political Report.
  4. ↑ Who Is Rep.-Elect George Santos? His Résumé May Be Largely Fiction., New York Times, December 19, 2022
  5. ↑ Rep.-elect George Santos admits to lying about bio, but says he still intends to serve in Congress, CNN Politics, December 27, 2022
  6. ↑ Fetterman says he sent ‘ethically-challenged’ Menendez a Cameo video from Santos, The Hill
  7. ↑ Sangal, Aditi; Shelton, Shania (December 1, 2023). "House expels GOP Rep. George Santos over ethics violations". CNN. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  8. ↑ Bowman, Bridget (December 1, 2023). "George Santos' exit sets up a competitive special election". NBC News. Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  9. ↑ Shepherd, Bridget; Bowman (December 7, 2023). "New York Democrats pick Tom Suozzi as their candidate for George Santos' seat". NBC News. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  10. ↑ Shepherd, Bridget; Bowman (December 7, 2023). "New York Democrats pick Tom Suozzi as their candidate for George Santos' seat". NBC News. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  11. ↑ LaRocco, Paul (December 14, 2023). "GOP picks Mazi Melesa Pilip to run in special election to replace ousted George Santos, former Rep. Pete King confirms". Newsday. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  12. ↑ "This one-time refugee and former Israeli paratrooper just won a seat in her county legislature". The Forward. November 29, 2021. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  13. ↑ Cuza, Bobby (December 14, 2023). "GOP nominates Nassau legislator Mazi Pilip to run for Santos' seat". NY1. Retrieved December 15, 2023.
  14. ↑ Spector, Joseph; Reisman, Nick; Ngo, Emily (December 15, 2023). "How Delgado will help House Democrats". Politico. Retrieved December 15, 2023.
  15. ↑ "November 3, 2020 General Election Certification" (PDF). New York State Board of Elections. September 17, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 24, 2020. Retrieved September 25, 2020.
  16. ↑ "NY-03: Democrats Have Reasons for Cautious Optimism in Special Election Sprint". Cook Political Report. January 9, 2024.
  17. ↑ "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  18. ↑ "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  19. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  20. ↑ "Can Tom Suozzi win in an increasingly conservative Long Island?". January 8, 2024.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Lewis, Rebecca L. (December 21, 2023). "Who's endorsing Tom Suozzi and Mazi Melesa Pilip in NY-3?". City & State.
  22. 1 2 3 4 "Endorsements Roll In For Hopeful Santos Replacement Mazi Melesa Pilip". 5TJT. December 17, 2023. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
  23. ↑ "RJC Endorses Mazi Pilip in NY-3 Special Election". Republican Jewish Coalition. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  24. 1 2 3 "NewDem Action Fund Endorses Tom Suozzi for New York's Third Congressional District". NewDem Action Fund. October 24, 2023. Archived from the original on October 24, 2023. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
  25. 1 2 "ASPIRE PAC Endorses Tom Suozzi in NY-03 Special Election". aspirepac.org. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  26. 1 2 "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Tom Suozzi in the Special Election for New York's 3rd Congressional District". www.boldpac.com. December 20, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  27. ↑ Robertson, Nick (December 7, 2023). "New York Democrats suspends campaign for Santos's former seat, backs Suozzi". The Hill.
  28. ↑ Lane, Laura (November 17, 2023). "Democratic candidates dropping out of race for New York's 3rd Congressional District". Long Island Herald. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  29. 1 2 "DMFI PAC endorses Tom Suozzi in the NY-03 special election". DMFI PAC. January 8, 2024. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  30. 1 2 "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses Former New York Representative Tom Suozzi for Congress". Human Rights Campaign. December 22, 2023. Retrieved December 24, 2023.
  31. ↑ "Brady PAC Endorses Tom Suozzi in NY-03 Special Election". Brady PAC. December 16, 2023. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  32. 1 2 "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Tom Suozzi for New York's 3rd Congressional District Special Election". End Citizens United | We the People, Not "We the Wealthy". December 20, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  33. ↑ "Jewish Democratic Council of America Endorses Tom Suozzi for Congress And Pledges Competitive Ad Buy". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  34. ↑ "NY-Rockland and Orange Phone Bank for Suozzi CD3 Special Election". Gun Sense Voter. Retrieved January 12, 2024.
  35. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
  36. ↑ Brotherhood of Railroad Signalmen (BRS) [@BRS_LaborUnion] (December 11, 2023). "@Tom_Suozzi for Congress!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  37. ↑ CWA District 1 [@CWADistrict1] (December 7, 2023). "Endorsement Alert!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  38. ↑ "Endorsed by Steamfitters Local 638". Facebook. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  39. ↑ "Local One PAC has endorsed Tom Souzzi for Congress". Facebook. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  40. ↑ "Local 300 Endorses Tom Suozzi for the 3rd District of New York in the House of Representatives" (PDF). National Postal Mail Handlers Union, Local 300. October 16, 2023. Retrieved January 5, 2024.
  41. ↑ "Our endorsements". LIUNA NY. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  42. ↑ "NYSUT endorses Tom Suozzi in CD3 special election". www.nysut.org. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  43. ↑ Malaszczyk, Michael (December 28, 2023). "Tom Suozzi, Mazi Pilip Set For Feb. 8 Debate". www.longislandpress.com.
Official campaign websites
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