In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 30 September 2023.
Electoral polling
Voting intention estimates
Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the Slovak Association of Research Agencies (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia. Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.
Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last parliamentary election or oscillate above 4% in the polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties (lacking in this year's election). 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council.
2023
Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
Smer | PS | Hlas | OĽaNO and Friends | KDH | SASKA | SNS | Republika | Hungarian Alliance |
Democrats | SR | ĽSNS | Modrí, Most–Híd | MF | Others | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OĽaNO | KÚ | ZĽ | Most–Híd | Modrí | |||||||||||||||||
Ipsos[1] | 13–18 Dec 2023 | 1,048 | 24.1% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | – | – | 0.5% | 4.7 | |||
AKO[2] | 11–13 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 24.2% | 21.4% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | – | – | – | 2.8 | |||
Focus[3] | 15–22 Nov 2023 | 1,015 | 23.8% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | – | – | 0.4% | 5.9 | |||
AKO[4] | 7–14 Nov 2023 | 1,000 | 24.0% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | – | – | 3.9 | |||
Ipsos[5] | 2–7 Nov 2023 | 1,021 | 24.0% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 4.9 | |||
2023 elections | 30 Sep 2023 | 2,967,896 | 22.95% | 17.96% | 14.70% | 8.90% | 6.82% | 6.32% | 5.63% | 4.75% | 4.39% | 2.93% | 2.21% | 0.84% | 0.27% | 0.12% | 1.21% | 4.99 |
References
- ↑ "Smer zostáva najsilnejší". Denník N (in Slovak). 20 December 2023. Retrieved 20 December 2023.
- ↑ "Voľby by v decembri vyhral Smer". Sme (in Slovak). 14 December 2023. Retrieved 15 December 2023.
- ↑ "Prieskum: Dve strany hlásia návrat do parlamentu". TV Markíza (in Slovak). 26 November 2023. Retrieved 26 November 2023.
- ↑ "Prieskum AKO: Voľby by vyhral Smer, Matovičovej strane zatiaľ zmena názvu škodí". Sme (in Slovak). 16 November 2023. Retrieved 16 November 2023.
- ↑ "Prvý povolebný model Ipsosu: Smer má 24 percent, PS 19. Matovičov nový názov ľudí mätie". Denník N (in Slovak). 13 November 2023. Retrieved 13 November 2023.