| Opinion polling for UK general elections |
|---|
| 1987 election |
| Opinion polls |
| 1992 election |
| Opinion polls |
| 1997 election |
| Opinion polls |
| 2001 election |
| Opinion polls |
| 2005 election |
| Opinion polls |
Prior to the 1997 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election to the election on 1 May 1997.
Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its 18 seats were not contested by the political parties standing for election in the rest of the United Kingdom.
Graphical summary
By the end of 1992 Labour had established a lead over the Conservatives which lasted until the 1997 election.
Labour
Conservatives
Liberal Democrats
Results
1997
| Survey end date |
Pollster/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 May | 1997 general election | 30.7% | 43.2% | 16.8% | 12.5% |
| 30 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 33% | 43% | 18% | 10% |
| 30 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 33% | 46% | 16% | 13% |
| 30 Apr | MORI/Evening Standard | 29% | 47% | 19% | 18% |
| 29 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 31% | 51% | 13% | 20% |
| 29 Apr | Harris/Independent | 31% | 48% | 15% | 17% |
| 29 Apr | MORI/Times | 27% | 51% | 15% | 24% |
| 29 Apr | NOP/Reuters | 28% | 50% | 14% | 22% |
| 28 Apr | Gallup/Channel 4 | 31% | 49% | 14% | 18% |
| 28 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 29% | 51% | 13% | 22% |
| 27 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 49% | 14% | 19% |
| 26 Apr | Gallup/Sunday Telegraph | 31% | 48% | 13% | 17% |
| 25 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 48% | 14% | 16% |
| 25 Apr | ICM/Observer | 32% | 47% | 16% | 15% |
| 25 Apr | NOP/Sunday Times | 29% | 47% | 16% | 18% |
| 24 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 48% | 12% | 16% |
| 24 Apr | MORI/Independent on Sunday | 29% | 53% | 12% | 24% |
| 23 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 50% | 12% | 20% |
| 22 Apr | Gallup/Channel 4 | 31% | 50% | 13% | 19% |
| 22 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 51% | 12% | 21% |
| 22 Apr | MORI/Times | 27% | 48% | 17% | 21% |
| 21 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 48% | 12% | 16% |
| 21 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 37% | 42% | 14% | 5% |
| 20 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 48% | 13% | 16% |
| 20 Apr | Harris/Independent | 30% | 48% | 15% | 18% |
| 19 Apr | Gallup/Sunday Telegraph | 31% | 50% | 13% | 19% |
| 18 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 50% | 13% | 18% |
| 18 Apr | ICM/Observer | 31% | 48% | 15% | 17% |
| 18 Apr | NOP/Sunday Times | 29% | 47% | 17% | 18% |
| 17 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 31% | 50% | 12% | 19% |
| 16 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 31% | 50% | 11% | 19% |
| 15 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 51% | 12% | 21% |
| 15 Apr | MORI/Times | 32% | 49% | 13% | 17% |
| 14 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 49% | 14% | 17% |
| 14 Apr | Harris/Independent | 31% | 49% | 13% | 18% |
| 14 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 45% | 19% | 14% |
| 14 Apr | MORI/Evening Standard | 29% | 50% | 15% | 21% |
| 13 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 50% | 14% | 20% |
| 12 Apr | Gallup/Sunday Telegraph | 31% | 50% | 13% | 19% |
| 12 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 49% | 14% | 17% |
| 11 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 52% | 11% | 20% |
| 11 Apr | ICM/Observer | 32% | 48% | 15% | 16% |
| 11 Apr | NOP/Sunday Times | 28% | 49% | 16% | 21% |
| 10 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 52% | 11% | 22% |
| 9 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 29% | 53% | 12% | 24% |
| 8 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 51% | 11% | 19% |
| 8 Apr | MORI/Times | 34% | 49% | 12% | 15% |
| 7 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 33% | 53% | 10% | 20% |
| 7 Apr | Harris/Independent | 28% | 54% | 12% | 26% |
| 7 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 46% | 15% | 12% |
| 6 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 55% | 10% | 25% |
| 4 Apr | ICM/Observer | 30% | 50% | 14% | 20% |
| 4 Apr | MORI/Independent on Sunday | 30% | 55% | 9% | 25% |
| 4 Apr | NOP/Reuters | 29% | 52% | 11% | 23% |
| 4 Apr | NOP/Sunday Times | 26% | 53% | 12% | 27% |
| 3 Apr | Gallup/Channel 4 | 30% | 54% | 11% | 24% |
| 3 Apr | Harris/Central News | 29% | 55% | 11% | 26% |
| 1 Apr | MORI/Times | 28% | 55% | 11% | 27% |
| 31 Mar | Harris/Independent | 28% | 52% | 14% | 24% |
| 31 Mar | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 46% | 17% | 14% |
| 28 Mar | Gallup/Telegraph | 31% | 52% | 11% | 21% |
| 24 Mar | Harris/Independent | 28% | 56% | 10% | 28% |
| 24 Mar | MORI/Times | 29% | 50% | 14% | 21% |
| 21 Mar | Gallup/Sunday Telegraph | 27% | 56% | 11% | 29% |
| 17 Mar | Gallup/Telegraph | 28.5% | 56.5% | 9.5% | 28% |
| 17 Mar | Harris/Independent | 27% | 58% | 10% | 31% |
| 14 Mar | NOP/Reuters | 29% | 54% | 11% | 25% |
| 13 Mar | NOP/Sunday Times | 26% | 54% | 13% | 28% |
| 10 Mar | Harris/Independent | 26% | 53% | 14% | 27% |
| 9 Mar | ORB/Ladbrokes | 26% | 56% | 12% | 30% |
| 4 Mar | Gallup/Telegraph | 28% | 54% | 12.5% | 26% |
| 3 Mar | Harris/Independent | 30% | 55% | 10% | 25% |
| 2 Mar | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 48% | 16% | 18% |
| 24 Feb | MORI/Times | 31% | 52% | 11% | 21% |
| 21 Feb | NOP/Reuters | 29% | 51% | 14% | 22% |
| 13 Feb | NOP/Sunday Times | 30% | 49% | 13% | 19% |
| 4 Feb | Gallup/Telegraph | 34% | 49% | 12% | 15% |
| 2 Feb | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 48% | 15% | 16% |
| 28 Jan | MORI/Times | 30% | 55% | 11% | 25% |
| 16 Jan | NOP/Sunday Times | 31% | 54% | 12% | 23% |
| 15 Jan | Gallup/Telegraph | 32.5% | 50.5% | 10.5% | 18% |
| 5 Jan | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 48% | 16% | 17% |
| 5 Jan | ORB/Ladbrokes | 30% | 53% | 12% | 23% |
1996
| Survey end date |
Pollster/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | ICM/Observer | 30% | 50% | 14% | 20% |
| 9 Dec | MORI/Times | 30% | 51% | 13% | 21% |
| 2 Dec | Gallup/Telegraph | 22% | 59% | 12% | 37% |
| 1 Dec | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 50% | 15% | 19% |
| 29 Nov | MORI/Euro | 30% | 52% | 13% | 22% |
| 14 Nov | NOP/Sunday Times | 26% | 56% | 13% | 30% |
| 11 Nov | MORI/Times | 33% | 50% | 12% | 17% |
| 5 Nov | Gallup/Telegraph | 28% | 55% | 11% | 17% |
| 2 Nov | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 47% | 15% | 13% |
| 1 Nov | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 30% | 54% | 12% | 24% |
| 28 Oct | MORI/Times | 28% | 56% | 12% | 18% |
| 21 Oct | MORI | 27% | 54% | 12% | 17% |
| 17 Oct | NOP/Sunday Times | 33% | 47% | 14% | 24% |
| 14 Oct | MORI | 30% | 53% | 12% | 23% |
| 7 Oct | MORI | 29% | 54% | 13% | 25% |
| 5 Oct | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 49% | 16% | 18% |
| 4 Oct | Gallup/Telegraph | 24% | 57% | 15% | 33% |
| 3 Oct | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 57% | 13% | 32% |
| 1 Oct | Gallup/Telegraph | 27.5% | 52% | 15% | 24.5% |
| 24 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 27% | 54% | 13.5% | 27% |
| 23 Sep | MORI/Times | 29% | 52% | 14% | 23% |
| 19 Sep | NOP/Sunday Times | 31% | 50% | 14% | 19% |
| 9 Sep | MORI | 28% | 56% | 12% | 28% |
| 7 Sep | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 47% | 16% | 15% |
| 3 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 58.5% | 11% | 33% |
| 25 Aug | MORI/Times | 30% | 51% | 13% | 27% |
| 15 Aug | NOP/Sunday Times | 28% | 54% | 14% | 26% |
| 12 Aug | MORI | 30% | 52% | 13% | 22% |
| 5 Aug | Gallup/Telegraph | 25% | 59% | 11% | 34% |
| 3 Aug | ICM/Guardian | 33% | 45% | 19% | 12% |
| 28 Jul | MORI/Times | 29% | 53% | 12% | 24% |
| 25 Jul | NOP/Sunday Times | 29% | 51% | 16% | 22% |
| 6 Jul | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 45% | 21% | 15% |
| 1 Jul | Gallup/Telegraph | 26% | 54.5% | 14.5% | 28.5% |
| 1 Jul | MORI | 32% | 52% | 12% | 20% |
| 24 Jun | MORI/Times | 31% | 52% | 12% | 21% |
| 20 Jun | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 55% | 15% | 28% |
| 10 Jun | MORI | 27% | 56% | 13% | 29% |
| 6 Jun | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 46% | 19% | 16% |
| 3 Jun | Gallup/Telegraph | 22.5% | 57% | 16% | 34.5% |
| 2 Jun | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 46% | 19% | 16% |
| 30 May | 1996 Northern Ireland Forum election[1] | ||||
| 26 May | MORI/Times | 27% | 54% | 15% | 27% |
| 16 May | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 52% | 17% | 25% |
| 13 May | MORI | 27% | 56% | 13% | 29% |
| 6 May | Gallup/Telegraph | 24.5% | 55.5% | 15.5% | 31% |
| 5 May | ICM/Guardian | 28% | 45% | 21% | 17% |
| 3 May | ICM/Sunday Express | 26% | 52% | 15% | 26% |
| 2 May | 1996 local elections[2] | ||||
| 27 Apr | MORI/Sun | 29% | 54% | 13% | 25% |
| 25 Apr | NOP/Sunday Times | 28% | 52% | 16% | 24% |
| 22 Apr | MORI/Times | 28% | 54% | 14% | 26% |
| 13 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 50% | 17% | 21% |
| 1 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 26% | 55.5% | 15.5% | 29.5% |
| 25 Mar | MORI/Times | 28% | 57% | 13% | 29% |
| 14 Mar | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 55% | 14% | 28% |
| 11 Mar | MORI | 29% | 55% | 13% | 26% |
| 4 Mar | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 57.5% | 16% | 34.5% |
| 4 Mar | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 45% | 20% | 14% |
| 26 Feb | MORI/Times | 26% | 57% | 14% | 31% |
| 16 Feb | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 54% | 16% | 29% |
| 12 Feb | MORI | 26% | 57% | 14% | 31% |
| 5 Feb | Gallup/Telegraph | 28% | 54.5% | 14.5% | 26.5% |
| 4 Feb | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 47% | 19% | 16% |
| 29 Jan | MORI | 28% | 54% | 15% | 26% |
| 22 Jan | MORI/Times | 29% | 55% | 13% | 26% |
| 19 Jan | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 54% | 18% | 25% |
| 17 Jan | NOP | 33% | 47% | 14% | 14% |
| 8 Jan | Gallup/Telegraph | 21% | 60.5% | 14.5% | 39.5% |
| 6 Jan | ICM/Guardian | 26% | 48% | 22% | 22% |
| 3 Jan | NOP/Sunday Times | 29% | 52% | 13% | 23% |
1995
| Survey end date |
Pollster/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 55% | 16% | 30% |
| 14 Dec | ICM/Observer | 30% | 50% | 14% | 20% |
| 9 Dec | ICM/Guardian | 26% | 48% | 22% | 22% |
| 4 Dec | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 62% | 12% | 39% |
| 4 Dec | MORI/Times | 28% | 55% | 13% | 27% |
| 1 Dec | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 57% | 15% | 32% |
| 20 Nov | MORI/Times | 26% | 56% | 14% | 30% |
| 17 Nov | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 56% | 13% | 29% |
| 5 Nov | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 48% | 16% | 17% |
| 30 Oct | Gallup/Telegraph | 21.5% | 61% | 14.5% | 39.5% |
| 23 Oct | MORI/Times | 27% | 56% | 13% | 29% |
| 20 Oct | NOP/Sunday Times | 23% | 59% | 15% | 36% |
| 7 Oct | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 47% | 19% | 17% |
| 2 Oct | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 55.5% | 14% | 30% |
| 25 Sep | MORI/Times | 28% | 51% | 16% | 23% |
| 15 Sep | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 53% | 17% | 26% |
| 9 Sep | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 48% | 17% | 17% |
| 4 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 26.5% | 54.5% | 14% | 28% |
| 28 Aug | MORI/Times | 25% | 56% | 15% | 31% |
| 18 Aug | NOP/Sunday Times | 24% | 57% | 15% | 33% |
| 5 Aug | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 48% | 17% | 17% |
| 31 Jul | Gallup/Telegraph | 22.5% | 57.5% | 14.5% | 35% |
| 31 Jul | ICM/Express | 24% | 58% | 14% | 34% |
| 24 Jul | MORI/Times | 26% | 59% | 12% | 33% |
| 21 Jul | MORI/LWT | 30% | 52% | 13% | 22% |
| 21 Jul | NOP/Sunday Times | 26% | 55% | 14% | 29% |
| 8 Jul | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 47% | 17% | 15% |
| 4 Jul | John Major is re-elected leader of the Conservative Party[3] | ||||
| 3 Jul | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 57% | 13% | 31.5% |
| 3 Jul | MORI/European | 33% | 52% | 10% | 19% |
| 27 Jun | MORI/Economist | 31% | 55% | 11% | 24% |
| 26 Jun | MORI/Times | 29% | 56% | 13% | 27% |
| 24 Jun | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 32% | 54% | 11% | 22% |
| 10 Jun | ICM/Guardian | 24% | 53% | 19% | 29% |
| 5 Jun | Gallup/Telegraph | 20% | 59.5% | 14.5% | 39.5% |
| 22 May | MORI/Times | 22% | 58% | 16% | 36% |
| 13 May | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 48% | 19% | 19% |
| 8 May | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 55.5% | 16.5% | 32.5% |
| 4 May | 1995 local elections[4] | ||||
| 24 Apr | MORI/Times | 26% | 56% | 15% | 30% |
| 8 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 26% | 51% | 18% | 25% |
| 6 Apr | 1995 Scottish local elections[5] | ||||
| 3 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 57.5% | 15% | 34.5% |
| 24 Mar | MORI/Sunday Times | 25% | 59% | 12% | 34% |
| 20 Mar | MORI/Times | 25% | 57% | 13% | 32% |
| 11 Mar | ICM/Guardian | 27% | 52% | 17% | 25% |
| 27 Feb | Gallup/Telegraph | 20.5% | 60.5% | 15% | 40% |
| 20 Feb | MORI/Times | 24% | 58% | 14% | 34% |
| 11 Feb | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 49% | 17% | 18% |
| 30 Jan | Gallup/Telegraph | 23.5% | 59.5% | 13% | 36% |
| 23 Jan | MORI/Times | 27% | 56% | 14% | 29% |
| 14 Jan | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 48% | 18% | 18% |
| 13 Jan | Harris/Sunday Times | 25% | 60% | 12% | 35% |
| 9 Jan | Gallup/Telegraph | 18.5% | 62% | 14% | 43.5% |
1994
| Survey end date |
Pollster/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec | MORI/Times | 22% | 61% | 13% | 39% |
| 9 Dec | ICM/Observer | 26% | 53% | 17% | 27% |
| 5 Dec | Gallup/Telegraph | 21.5% | 61% | 13.5% | 39.5% |
| 3 Dec | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 49% | 17% | 18% |
| 21 Nov | MORI/Times | 24% | 55% | 17% | 31% |
| 5 Nov | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 49% | 16% | 18% |
| 31 Oct | Gallup/Telegraph | 21.5% | 56.5% | 17% | 35% |
| 24 Oct | MORI/Times | 25% | 57% | 14% | 32% |
| 8 Oct | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 49% | 15% | 17% |
| 3 Oct | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 54% | 16.5% | 28.5% |
| 27 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 21% | 57.5% | 15.5% | 36.5% |
| 26 Sep | MORI/Economist | 25% | 52% | 18% | 27% |
| 26 Sep | MORI/Times | 25% | 54% | 17% | 29% |
| 16 Sep | NOP/Independent | 28% | 50% | 17% | 22% |
| 10 Sep | ICM/Guardian | 33% | 45% | 18% | 12% |
| 5 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 22% | 56.5% | 17% | 34.5% |
| 26 Aug | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 26% | 54% | 16% | 28% |
| 22 Aug | MORI/Times | 23% | 56% | 18% | 33% |
| 6 Aug | ICM/Guardian | 28% | 49% | 19% | 21% |
| 1 Aug | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 56.5% | 14.5% | 33.5% |
| 21 Jul | Tony Blair becomes leader of the Labour Party[6] | ||||
| 18 Jul | MORI/Times | 23% | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| 9 Jul | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 44% | 21% | 13% |
| 4 Jul | Gallup/Telegraph | 26.5% | 51% | 17.5% | 24.5% |
| 20 Jun | MORI/Times | 24% | 52% | 20% | 28% |
| 10 Jun | ICM/Sunday Express | 26.5% | 45.5% | 19% | 19% |
| 9 June | 1994 European Parliament election[7] | ||||
| 6 Jun | MORI/Times | 23% | 50% | 22% | 27% |
| 4 Jun | ICM/Daily Express | 27% | 45% | 22% | 19% |
| 31 May | MORI/GMB | 22% | 46% | 22% | 24% |
| 30 May | Gallup/ Telegraph | 21% | 54% | 21.5% | 33% |
| 23 May | MORI/Times | 27% | 46% | 23% | 19% |
| 21 May | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 44% | 20% | 14% |
| 17 May | ICM/Express | 26% | 48% | 23% | 22% |
| 14 May | MORI/Sunday Times | 26% | 49% | 20% | 23% |
| 9 May | Gallup/Telegraph | 24.5% | 45.5% | 25% | 20.5% |
| 7 May | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 44% | 24% | 17% |
| 5 May | 1994 local elections[8] | ||||
| 25 Apr | MORI/Times | 26% | 47% | 23% | 21% |
| 20 Apr | NOP/Independent | 26% | 48% | 21% | 22% |
| 9 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 42% | 22% | 12% |
| 4 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 26.5% | 51.5% | 17.5% | 25% |
| 1 Apr | MORI/Evening Standard | 28% | 46% | 22% | 18% |
| 31 Mar | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 26% | 50% | 20% | 24% |
| 28 Mar | MORI/Times | 27% | 49% | 20% | 22% |
| 12 Mar | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 44% | 22% | 15% |
| 28 Feb | Gallup/Telegraph | 25% | 48.5% | 21% | 23.5% |
| 28 Feb | MORI/Times | 28% | 47% | 21% | 19% |
| 12 Feb | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 44% | 21% | 14% |
| 31 Jan | Gallup/Telegraph | 26% | 45.5% | 23% | 19.5% |
| 27 Jan | Audience Selection/Sunday Mirror | 28% | 41% | 24% | 13% |
| 24 Jan | MORI/Times | 28% | 48% | 20% | 20% |
| 11 Jan | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 46.5% | 20.5% | 21% |
| 11 Jan | MORI/Sun | 30% | 46% | 20% | 16% |
| 8 Jan | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 43% | 21% | 12% |
1993
| Survey end date |
Pollster/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | ICM/Observer | 26% | 48% | 23% | 22% |
| 13 Dec | MORI/Times | 29% | 47% | 20% | 18% |
| 6 Dec | Gallup/Telegraph | 27% | 48.5% | 20% | 21.5% |
| 4 Dec | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 42% | 23% | 11% |
| 22 Nov | MORI/Times | 29% | 47% | 22% | 18% |
| 13 Nov | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 47% | 21% | 20% |
| 6 Nov | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 38% | 24% | 4% |
| 1 Nov | Gallup/Telegraph | 24% | 46.5% | 25.5% | 22.5% |
| 25 Oct | MORI/Times | 29% | 45% | 23% | 16% |
| 9 Oct | ICM/Guardian | 36% | 39% | 20% | 3% |
| 9 Oct | ICM/Sunday Express | 30% | 40% | 26% | 10% |
| 27 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 44.5% | 27% | 21.5% |
| 24 Sep | ICM/Sunday Express | 27% | 41% | 26% | 14% |
| 21 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 23.5% | 44% | 26.5% | 20.5% |
| 20 Sep | MORI/Times | 29% | 43% | 25% | 14% |
| 11 Sep | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 40% | 26% | 11% |
| 6 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 46.5% | 23% | 21% |
| 23 Aug | MORI/Times | 28% | 42% | 25% | 14% |
| 7 Aug | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 36% | 27% | 6% |
| 1 Aug | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 44.5% | 27% | 21.5% |
| 30 Jul | MORI/Sunday Times | 27% | 41% | 28% | 14% |
| 26 Jul | MORI/Times | 27% | 44% | 25% | 17% |
| 23 Jul | MORI/Sunday Times | 34% | 44% | 18% | 10% |
| 5 Jul | Gallup/Telegraph | 24.5% | 43% | 26.5% | 18.5% |
| 3 Jul | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 37% | 25% | 5% |
| 28 Jun | MORI/Times | 28% | 46% | 23% | 18% |
| 12 Jun | MORI/Sunday Times | 29% | 44% | 22% | 15% |
| 11 Jun | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 27% | 42% | 26% | 15% |
| 5 Jun | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 38% | 26% | 7% |
| 31 May | Gallup/Telegraph | 25% | 49% | 23% | 24% |
| 24 May | MORI/Times | 28% | 44% | 24% | 16% |
| 19 May | 1993 Northern Ireland local elections | ||||
| 8 May | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 38% | 24% | 6% |
| 6 May | 1993 local elections[9] | ||||
| 3 May | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 47% | 17.5% | 17% |
| 26 Apr | MORI/Times | 32% | 46% | 20% | 14% |
| 10 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 39% | 21% | 5% |
| 1 Apr | Gallup/Telegraph | 30.5% | 49% | 15.5% | 18.5% |
| 29 Mar | MORI/Times | 32% | 47% | 17% | 15% |
| 6 Mar | ICM/Guardian | 36% | 41% | 18% | 5% |
| 1 Mar | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 49% | 14% | 17% |
| 22 Feb | MORI/Times | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% |
| 6 Feb | ICM/Guardian | 37% | 39% | 18% | 2% |
| 1 Feb | Gallup/Telegraph | 33.5% | 46% | 15.5% | 12.5% |
| 26 Jan | MORI/CCC | 38% | 44% | 13% | 8% |
| 21 Jan | MORI/Sunday Times | 37% | 45% | 14% | 8% |
| 11 Jan | Gallup/Telegraph | 33.5% | 45.5% | 14.5% | 12% |
| 9 Jan | ICM/Guardian | 39% | 37% | 18% | 2% |
1992
| Survey end date |
Pollster/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | MORI/Sunday Times | 34% | 47% | 16% | 13% |
| 5 Dec | ICM/Guardian | 36% | 41% | 18% | 5% |
| 1 Dec | MORI/Sunday Times | 34% | 47% | 15% | 13% |
| 30 Nov | Gallup/Telegraph | 29% | 52% | 14% | 23% |
| 20 Nov | ICM/Express | 33% | 49% | 14% | 16% |
| 12 Nov | Harris/Observer | 32% | 51% | 14% | 19% |
| 8 Nov | Harris/World in Action | 30% | 53% | 13% | 23% |
| 7 Nov | ICM/Guardian | 36% | 40% | 19% | 4% |
| 2 Nov | Gallup/Telegraph | 32.5% | 50% | 13% | 17.5% |
| 30 Oct | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 34% | 47% | 14% | 13% |
| 27 Oct | MORI/Sunday Times | 35% | 45% | 15% | 10% |
| 19 Oct | Gallup | 29% | 51% | 14% | 22% |
| 12 Oct | Gallup | 36% | 45% | 14% | 9% |
| 10 Oct | ICM/Guardian | 38% | 38% | 19% | Tie |
| 29 Sep | MORI/Sunday Times | 37% | 43% | 16% | 6% |
| 28 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 37% | 44% | 15% | 7% |
| 21 Sep | Gallup/Telegraph | 37% | 42% | 17% | 5% |
| 19 Sep | MORI/Sunday Times | 39% | 43% | 15% | 4% |
| 18 Sep | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 39% | 41% | 16% | 3% |
| 17 Sep | Harris/Observer | 36% | 44% | 16% | 8% |
| 7 Sep | Gallup | 43% | 41% | 12% | 2% |
| 5 Sep | ICM/Guardian | 39% | 35% | 19% | 4% |
| 2 Sep | MORI/Sunday Times | 41% | 44% | 13% | 3% |
| 21 Aug | MORI/Times | 38% | 44% | 14% | 6% |
| 14 Aug | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 43% | 39% | 14% | 4% |
| 8 Aug | ICM/Guardian | 41% | 36% | 17% | 5% |
| 3 Aug | Gallup | 40.5% | 45% | 12% | 4.5% |
| 28 Jul | MORI/Sunday Times | 39% | 43% | 15% | 4% |
| 18 Jul | John Smith becomes leader of the Labour Party[10] | ||||
| 16 Jul | Harris/Observer | 44% | 38% | 15% | 6% |
| 6 Jul | Gallup | 42% | 38% | 16% | 4% |
| 4 Jul | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 36% | 15% | 9% |
| 23 Jun | MORI/Sunday Times | 42% | 39% | 16% | 3% |
| 18 Jun | Harris/Observer | 46% | 36% | 15% | 10% |
| 6 Jun | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 36% | 16% | 9% |
| 1 Jun | Gallup | 45% | 37% | 17% | 8% |
| 26 May | MORI/Sunday Times | 43% | 38% | 16% | 5% |
| 17 May | Audience Selection | 45% | 37% | 13% | 8% |
| 14 May | Harris/Observer | 46% | 37% | 13% | 9% |
| 9 May | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 34% | 17% | 11% |
| 8 May | 1992 local elections[11] | ||||
| 4 May | Gallup | 42% | 39% | 17% | 3% |
| 28 Apr | MORI/Sunday Times | 43% | 38% | 16% | 5% |
| 16 Apr | Harris/Observer | 44% | 36% | 17% | 8% |
| 12 Apr | Gallup | 39% | 38% | 19% | 1% |
| 11 Apr | Audience Selection | 42% | 36% | 18% | 6% |
| 9 Apr | 1992 general election | 41.9% | 34.4% | 17.8% | 7.5% |
Subnational polling
Scotland
All poll data from BBC News.[12]
| Pollster | Client | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | SNP | Con | Lib Dem | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992 election | 9 Apr 1992 | – | 39.0% | 21.5% | 25.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | |
| System 3 | The Herald | 20-24 Mar 1997 | 1,006 | 52% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 32% |
| System 3 | The Herald | 27-30 Mar 1997 | 1,003 | 53% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 27% |
| ICM | The Scotsman | 29-31 Mar 1997 | 1,000 | 47% | 22% | 20% | 9% | 25% |
| NOP | Scot S Times | 2 Apr 1997 | 844 | 49% | 25% | 18% | 6% | 24% |
| System 3 | The Herald | 5-6 Apr 1997 | 1,081 | 51% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 28% |
| ICM | The Scotsman | 11-13 Apr 1997 | 1,000 | 42% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 19% |
| System 3 | The Herald | 12-14 Apr 1997 | 1,000 | 52% | 24% | 13% | 9% | 28% |
| NOP | Scot S Times | 17 Apr 1997 | 950 | 47% | 28% | 15% | 8% | 19% |
| ICM | The Scotsman | 18-20 Apr 1997 | 1,000 | 47% | 21% | 18% | 11% | 26% |
| System 3 | The Herald | 19-20 Apr 1997 | 1,080 | 47% | 21% | 18% | 11% | 26% |
| NOP | Scot S Times | 24 Apr 1997 | 1,000 | 49% | 24% | 14% | 12% | 25% |
| ICM | The Scotsman | 25-27 Apr 1997 | 1,000 | 46% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 25% |
| System 3 | The Herald | 26-27 Apr 1997 | 1,084 | 50% | 26% | 14% | 9% | 25% |
| 1997 election | 1 May 1997 | – | 45.6% | 22.1% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 23.5% | |
References
- ↑ Sharrock, David (1 June 1996). "Poll gives a good result all round". The Guardian. p. 8.
- ↑ Macintyre, Donald; Timmins, Nicholas (3 May 1996). "This time it was merely a rout". The Independent. p. 1.
- ↑ White, Michael (5 July 1995). "Jubilant Major tightens grip as cabinet shuffle tilts to the right". The Guardian. p. 1.
- ↑ Macintyre, Donald; Rentoul, John. "Tories massacred at local polls". The Independent. p. 1.
- ↑ Arlidge, John; Rentoul, John (7 April 1995). "Tories wiped out in Scottish poll". The Independent. p. 1.
- ↑ Sergeant, John (21 July 1994). "Tony Blair elected Labour Party leader, 1994". BBC News. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
- ↑ Macintyre, Donald; Goodwin, Stephen (13 June 1994). "Britain turns to Labour". The Independent. p. 1.
- ↑ Macintyre, Donald; Whitfield, Martin (6 May 1994). "Lib Dems storm the town halls". The Independent. p. 1.
- ↑ Wynn Davies, Patricia; Crequer, Ngaio (7 May 1993). "Voters rebuff Major in county council polls". The Independent. p. 1.
- ↑ Macintyre, Donald; Castle, Stephen (19 July 1992). "John Smith sweeps in with reforming zeal". The Independent on Sunday. p. 1.
- ↑ Timmins, Nicholas; Ian, McKinnon (8 May 1992). "Labour hammered at polls". The Independent. p. 1.
- ↑ "Scottish Voting Intention". Politics '97. BBC News. Archived from the original on 9 February 1999.
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