2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
January 23, 2024
22 Republican National Convention delegates

The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary will be held on January 23, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.

22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis.[2] The New Hampshire primary will be the second contest in the nation, held after the Iowa caucus.

Background

Donald Trump won the 2016 New Hampshire Republican primary with 35.2% of the vote, with closest opponent John Kasich coming in second with 15.7% of the vote.

Exit polling by Edison Research concluded that Trump's 2016 primary victory could be credited to support among white voters without a college degree, as well as support from moderate voters.[3]

Procedure

Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote.[2]

Candidates

The following candidates have officially filed by the end of the filing deadline on October 27, 2023:[4]

Campaign

In January 2023, Trump selected outgoing New Hampshire Republican Party chair Stephen Stepanek to oversee his campaign's operations in the state.[11]

New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, who considered a presidential candidacy, established a "Live Free or Die committee",[12] though he announced on June 5 that he would not be running for the Republican nomination.[13]

Endorsements

Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Former U.S. Representative
Former State Representative
Ron DeSantis
State Representatives
  • Jason Osborne, Rockingham's District 4 (2014–present); Majority Leader (2020–present)[16]
  • Lisa Smart, Belknap's District 2 (2022–present)[17]
  • Matthew Simon, Grafton's District 1 (2020–present)[18]
  • Brian Cole, Hillsborough's District 26 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[19]
  • James Spillane, Rockingham's District 2 (2014–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[20]
  • Katherine Prudhomme O'Brien, Rockingham's District 13 (2018–present)[18]
  • Tom Dolan, Rockingham's District 16 (2018–present)[18]
  • Kristine Perez, Rockingham's District 16 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[21]
  • Debra DiSimone, Rockingham's District 18 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[19]
Nikki Haley
Governor
U.S. Senators
State Senator
State Representative
  • Michael Moffett, Merrimack's District 4 (2022–present), Merrimack's District 9 (2016-2018, 2020–2022)[26]
Mayor
Notable Individual
Vivek Ramaswamy
State representatives
  • Richard Brown, Carroll's District 3 (2022–present)[29]
  • Fred Doucette, Rockingham's District 25 (2014–present); Deputy Majority Leader (2020–present)[30]
  • David Love, Rockingham's District 13 (2022–present) and District 6 (2018–2022)[29]
  • Mark McLean, Hillsborough's District 15 (2022–present), District 44 (2017–2022), and District 14 (2014–2016)[29]
  • Fred Plett, Hillsborough's District 29 (2022–present) and Hillsborough District 6 (2018–2022)[29]
  • David Rochefort, Grafton's District 1 (2022–present)[29]
  • Susan Vandecasteele, Rockingham's District 25 (2022–present) and District 8 (2020–2022)[29]
  • Peter Varney, Belknap's District 7 (2022–present)[29]
Donald Trump
Former federal official
Former U.S. Senator
State Senators
State Representative
Notable individual

Maps

Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the New Hampshire Senate.
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (1)
  No endorsement (13)
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the New Hampshire House of Representatives.
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (63)
  Endorsed Donald Trump (46)
  Endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy (8)
  Endorsed Larry Elder (1) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (81)
  Non-Republicans (201)

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Chris
Christie		 Ron
DeSantis		 Nikki
Haley		 Asa
Hutchinson		 Vivek
Ramaswamy		 Donald
Trump		 Other/
Undecided[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
270 to Win December 20, 2023 – January 9, 2024 January 9, 2024 10.4% 6.8% 28.6% 0.5% 4.6% 43.6% 5.5% Trump +15.0
FiveThirtyEight Through January 8, 2024 January 10, 2024 11.6% 5.6% 29.9% 0.5% 5.1% 42.4% 4.9% Trump +12.5
RealClearPolitics December 18 – January 10, 2024 January 10, 2024 12.0% 6.5% 29.0% – 4.8% 43.3% 4.4% Trump +14.3
Average 11.3% 6.3% 29.2% 0.5% 4.8% 43.1% 4.8% Trump +13.9
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Doug
Burgum		 Chris
Christie		 Ron
DeSantis		 Nikki
Haley		 Asa
Hutchinson		 Mike
Pence		 Vivek
Ramaswamy		 Tim
Scott		 Donald
Trump		 Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College Jan 8–9, 2024 1,194 (LV) ± 2.8% – 9% 6% 31% – – 6% – 45% – 3%
University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN Jan 4–8, 2024 919 (LV) ± 3.2% – 12% 5% 32% 0% – 8% – 39% 0% 5%
American Research Group December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – 10% 5% 33% 1% – 4% – 37% 1% 9%
American Research Group Dec 14–20, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – 13% 6% 29% 1% – 5% – 33% 1% 12%
Saint Anselm College Dec 18–19, 2023 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% – 12% 6% 30% 0% – 5% – 44% – 3%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov Dec 7–18, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.4% – 6% 10% 22% 1% – 4% – 52% 0%[lower-alpha 3] 5%
CBS News/YouGov Dec 8–15, 2023 855 (LV) ± 4.1% – 10% 11% 29% 1% – 5% – 44% – –
Trafalgar Group Dec 9–11, 2023 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% – 14% 11% 18% 0% – 10% – 45% – 1%
Americans for Prosperity Nov 19–21, 2023 800 (LV) – – – 9% 25% – – – – 40% 26% –
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN Nov 10–14, 2023 994 (LV) ± 3.1% 2% 14% 9% 20% 0% – 8% – 42% 3% 2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University Nov 9–14, 2023 606 (LV) ± 4.5% 2% 11% 7% 18% 1% – 8% 3% 46% 0% 4%
Emerson College/WHDH Nov 10–13, 2023 465 (RV) ± 3.3% 1.5% 8.8% 7.2% 17.6% 0.3% – 4.6% 2.2% 48.5% – 9.3%
USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 1% 6% 10% 19% – 1% 4% 4% 49% – –
CBS News/YouGov Sep 15–24, 2023 502 (LV) ± 5.4% 2% 8% 13% 11% 1% 2% 8% 5% 50% 0%[lower-alpha 4] –
Saint Anselm College Sep 19–20, 2023 931 (LV) ± 3.2% 1% 10% 11% 15% 1% 1% 6% 3% 45% 0%[lower-alpha 5] 6%
Insider Advantage September 20, 2023 850 (LV) ± 3.36% 4% 10% 8% 14% 1% 1% 5% 5% 42% 1%[lower-alpha 6] 9%
University of New Hampshire Sep 14–18, 2023 1,006 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 11% 10% 12% 0% 2% 13% 6% 39% 1%[lower-alpha 7] 6%
NMB Research Aug 25–31, 2023 800 (LV) – 1% 8% 10% 10% 1% 4% 8% 5% 47% <3%[lower-alpha 8] 4%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Aug 25–28, 2023 500 (LV) – 2% 5% 11% 9% <1% 1% 9% 5% 48% <3%[lower-alpha 9] 9%
Echelon Insights[upper-alpha 1] Aug 15–17, 2023 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 14% 9% 3% 1% 3% 11% 7% 34% 3%[lower-alpha 10] 12%
Emerson College Aug 9–11, 2023 498 (RV) ± 4.9% 4% 9% 8% 4% – 1% 3% 6% 49% 3%[lower-alpha 11] 13%
co/efficient Aug 5–7, 2023 862 (LV) ± 3.3% 4% 9% 9% 7% 1% 3% 5% 5% 43% 3%[lower-alpha 12] 13%
Manhattan Institute July 2023 603 (LV) – 3% 11% 13% 7% 1% 4% 8% 7% 34% 3%[lower-alpha 13] 8%
National Research[upper-alpha 2] Jul 25–26, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 8% 11% 3% 1% 2% 6% 8% 41% – 15%
University of New Hampshire Jul 13–17, 2023 898 (LV) ± 3.3% 6% 6% 23% 5% 0% 1% 5% 8% 37% 1%[lower-alpha 14] 8%
National Research[upper-alpha 2] Jul 10–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 7% 15% 5% 1% 1% 4% 6% 39% – 17%
American Pulse Jul 5–11, 2023 895 ± 3.2% 3% 10% 11% 3% – 5% 5% 7% 48% – 8%[lower-alpha 15]
Saint Anselm College Jun 21–23, 2023 494 (LV) ± 4.4% 2% 6% 19% 5% 2% 2% 2% 4% 47% 0%[lower-alpha 16] 10%
New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient Jun 14–16, 2023 904 (LV) ± 3.3% – 9% 13% 3% – 5% 3% 3% 47% 5% 10%
– – 23% – – – – – 49% – 28%
National Research[upper-alpha 2] Jun 12–14, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 7% 12% 5% 2% 3% 3% 7% 44% 18%[lower-alpha 17] –
National Research[upper-alpha 2] May 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – – 18% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% 39% 32%[lower-alpha 18] –
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–17, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.4% – 1% 22% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 42% 20%[lower-alpha 19] 4%
J.L Partners Apr 2–11, 2023 623 (LV) ± 3.9% – 2% 18% 4% – 2% 1% 1% 51% 19%[lower-alpha 20] 6%
– – 33% – – – – – 53% – 13%
Saint Anselm College Mar 28–30, 2023 1,320 (RV) ± 4.0% – 1% 29% 4% – 1% 3% 1% 42% 19%[lower-alpha 21] –
Emerson College Mar 3–5, 2023 384 (RV) ± 5.0% – – 17% 6% – 4% – 1% 58% 14%[lower-alpha 22] –
co/efficient Jan 25–26, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.35% – – – – – – – – 43% 42% 15%
– – 26% 4% – 3% – – 37% 13%[lower-alpha 23] 18%
University of New Hampshire Jan 19–23, 2023 349 (LV) ± 5.2% – – 42% 8% – 1% – 0% 30% 16%[lower-alpha 24] 3%
Neighborhood Research and Media Dec 5–13, 2022 434 (LV) ± 4.7% – – 33% – – 3% – – 32% 13% 19%
WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 3] Nov 11–13, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% – – 52% – – – – – 37% – 11%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Saint Anselm College Aug 9–11, 2022 820 (RV) ± 3.4% – – 29% 3% – 3% – 1% 50% 4%[lower-alpha 25] 8%
WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 3] Aug 7–10, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% – – 45% – – – – – 45% – 10%
Neighborhood Research and Media[upper-alpha 4] Jul 5–8, 2022 475 (RV) ± 4.5% – – 22% 1% – 1% – – 41% 3%[lower-alpha 26] 32%
University of New Hampshire Jun 16–20, 2022 318 (LV) ± 5.5% – – 39% 6% – 9% – 0% 37% 6%[lower-alpha 27] 3%
University of New Hampshire Oct 14–18, 2021 441 (LV) ± 4.7% – – 18% 6% – 4% – – 43% 14%[lower-alpha 28] 10%
University of New Hampshire Jul 15–19, 2021 770 (LV) ± 3.5% – – 19% 6% – 5% – – 43% 13%[lower-alpha 29] 10%
Saint Anselm College[upper-alpha 5] May 7–10, 2021 635 (RV) ± 3.9% – – 20% 7% – 4% – 0% 52% 7%[lower-alpha 30] 10%
Victory Insights Mar 5–11, 2021 400 (RV) – – – 5% 3% – 6% – – 52% 14%[lower-alpha 31] –
– – 21% 7% – 18% – – – 29%[lower-alpha 32] –
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Praecones Analytica Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 624 (RV) ± 4.0% – – – 7% – 6% – 2% 57% 19%[lower-alpha 33] 10%
– – – 12% – 25% – 3% – 46%[lower-alpha 34] 14%

Results

New Hampshire Republican primary, January 23, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump
Ron DeSantis
Nikki Haley
Vivek Ramaswamy
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
Asa Hutchinson
John Anthony Castro
Sam Sloan
Scott Alan Ayers
Ryan Binkley
David Stuckenberg
Robert S Carney Jr.
Peter Jedick
Donald Kjornes
Mary Maxwell
Glenn J. McPeters
Scott Peterson Merrell
Darius L. Mitchell
Rachel Swift
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 100.00% 22 0 22
Source: "Republican Cumulative Filing as of 10/27/2023" (PDF). New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved December 5, 2023.

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ "Another candidate" with 0%
  4. ↑ Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  5. ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
  6. ↑ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  7. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & "Other" with 0%
  8. ↑ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Refused 1%
  9. ↑ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Perry Johnson with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  10. ↑ Will Hurd with 3%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  11. ↑ Perry Johnson with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%
  12. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  13. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
  14. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  15. ↑ Calculated by subtracting the candidates' percentages from 100; the source does not give a number
  16. ↑ Suarez with 0%
  17. ↑ Undecided, Other & Refused
  18. ↑ Chris Sununu with 17%; "Undecided, Other & Refused" with 15%
  19. ↑ Chris Sununu with 12%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
  20. ↑ Chris Sununu with 10%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  21. ↑ Chris Sununu with 14%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
  22. ↑ Chris Sununu with 7%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  23. ↑ Chris Sununu with 13%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  24. ↑ Liz Cheney, Chris Sununu and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  25. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
  26. ↑ Chris Sununu, Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  27. ↑ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
  28. ↑ Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  29. ↑ Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  30. ↑ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
  31. ↑ Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  32. ↑ Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  33. ↑ Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
  34. ↑ Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
  2. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC, which supports Trump.
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC

References

  1. ↑ Enstrom, Kirk (November 15, 2023). "Here's when the New Hampshire 2024 primary will take place". WMUR.
  2. 1 2 "New Hampshire Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. January 11, 2024. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  3. ↑ "New Hampshire Exit Polls". The New York Times. February 9, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
  4. ↑ "Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State" (PDF).
  5. ↑ Tabet, Alex (October 20, 2023). "Perry Johnson drops out of 2024 presidential race". NBC News. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  6. ↑ Colvin, Jill (October 28, 2023). "Pence ends White House campaign after struggling to gain traction. 'This is not my time,' he says". Associated Press. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  7. ↑ Vakil, Caroline (November 12, 2023). "Tim Scott suspends 2024 GOP primary bid". The Hill. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  8. ↑ David Wildstein (October 31, 2023). "Hirsh Singh ends ludicrous White House bid". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 12, 2023.
  9. ↑ Manchester, Julia (December 4, 2023). "Burgum suspends 2024 GOP presidential campaign". The Hill. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
  10. ↑ Krieg, Gregory (January 10, 2024). "Chris Christie ends 2024 presidential campaign". CNN. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  11. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (January 28, 2023). "Trump makes his first big move in New Hampshire". Politico. Retrieved October 31, 2023.
  12. ↑ Allen, Jonathan; Korecki, Natasha (February 8, 2023). "New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu takes a major step toward running for president". NBC News. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  13. ↑ Maher, Kit; Bradner, Eric (June 5, 2023). "CNN Exclusive: New Hampshire GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not run for president in 2024". CNN. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  14. ↑ Query, Meg (November 20, 2023). "Former Congressman Charlie Bass endorses Republican presidential candidate Chris Christie in 2024 presidential primary". WMUR9 News. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  15. ↑ Colvin, Jill (June 7, 2023). "Christie goes after Trump in presidential campaign launch, calling him a 'self-serving mirror hog'". Associated Press. Retrieved June 9, 2023.
  16. ↑ "New Hampshire House majority leader endorses DeSantis". WHNT. May 4, 2023. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  17. ↑ Ramirez, Isabella (May 16, 2023). "Four NH Republicans Flip Endorsements From Trump to DeSantis". The Daily Beast. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  18. 1 2 3 Scheckner, Jesse (May 26, 2023). "Ron DeSantis adds 5 more New Hampshire endorsements". Retrieved May 27, 2023.
  19. 1 2 "2 Republicans on DeSantis' N.H. endorsement list say they still back Trump". NBC News. May 16, 2023.
  20. ↑ Graham, Michael (June 1, 2023). "Trump Loses NHGOP Rep Endorsement to DeSantis Over Treatment of Fox News Host". NH Journal. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
  21. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (May 26, 2023). "Ron DeSantis Adds 5 More New Hampshire Endorsements". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
  22. ↑ Kinnard, Meg; Ramer, Holly (December 12, 2023). "Haley gets endorsement from Gov. Chris Sununu ahead of pivotal New Hampshire primary". Associated Press. Retrieved December 12, 2023.
  23. 1 2 Lips, Evan (January 3, 2024). "Bigger Crowds, New Endorsements as Haley Returns to NH". NH Journal. Retrieved January 5, 2024.
  24. ↑ Vakil, Caroline (October 25, 2023). "Former NH Sen. Judd Gregg endorses Haley presidential bid". The Hill. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
  25. ↑ Gannon, Bill (October 12, 2023). "Op-Eds: Senator Bill Gannon: Haley has the experience and character to be president". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
  26. ↑ "MOFFETT: Nikki Haley, the Presidency and 'Je Ne Sais Quoi'". November 20, 2023.
  27. ↑ "Sununu endorses Nikki Haley for president". December 12, 2023.
  28. ↑ Porter, Steven (February 16, 2023). "Nikki Haley teams up with Don Bolduc for N.H. town halls". The Boston Globe. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Graham, Michael (May 23, 2023). "Ramaswamy Rolls Out 47 Granite State Endorsements". NH Journal.
  30. ↑ Lizza, Ryan; Bade, Rachael; Daniels, Eugene (April 6, 2023). "Playbook: A 'five-alarm warning' for the GOP". Politico. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  31. ↑ Signan, Brooke (April 3, 2022). "Karoline Leavitt to join Trump super PAC as spokeswoman". Fox News. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  32. ↑ Daughtery, Eric (August 8, 2023). "Trump kicks off New Hampshire 'Veterans for Trump Coalition' with Florida Rep. Brian Mast". Florida's Voice. Retrieved August 8, 2023.
  33. 1 2 3 Gancarski, A.G. (December 16, 2023). "Donald Trump trumpets more New Hampshire endorsements, momentum". Florida Politics.
  34. ↑ Reid, Tim (January 27, 2023). "'Trump fatigue' in New Hampshire complicates 2024 White House bid". Reuters. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
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