< Limits To Growth

Introduction

The production rates and estimated exhaustion rates (years to exhaustion at the current rate of consumption and also the number of years left if the world consumed at half the US per-capita rate.) for several important minerals are shown in this table, adapted from [1]

MineralExhaustion Rate, CurrentExhaustion Rate, Half US RateWorld mine Production 2005 (Tonnes)
Antimony30 yrs15-20yrs150,000
Aluminum1027 yrs510 yrs31,900,000
Chromium143 yrs40 yrs18,900,000
Copper61 yrs38 yrs15,000,000
Gold45 yrs36 yrs2,430,000
Molybdenumn/an/a186,000
Nickel90 yrs57 yrs1,449,000
Phosphorous/Phosphate Rock345 yrs142 yrs154,000,000
Platinum360 yrs42 yrs548,000
Silver29 yrs9 yrs20,411,000
Tantalum116 yrs20 yrs142,700
Titaniumn/an/a16,134,000
Tin40 yrs17 yrs337,000
Zinc46 yrs34 yrs10,100,000

References:

  1. Turner, R. K., Morse-Jones, S., and Fisher, B. (2007). Perspectives on the ‘Environmental Limits’ Concept: A report to the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. CSERGE, Norwich. Defra, London.
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